Probability Of Trump Winning 2024. Donald trump could win every key swing state in the upcoming 2024 election, according to nate silver 's latest forecast. Exchange, trump's probability of winning fell from more than 65% on tuesday to as low as 49% on saturday night.


Probability Of Trump Winning 2024

On kalshi, the largest regulated u.s. In this scenario, trump wins 49 out of 100 times.

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